Jakro's MMA Musings

Smith's victory last week ended my streak in wrong main event picks, but my overall terrible record continued in today's event. All credit to Cejudo though. Even though he barely squeaked past DJ (this should put DJ's stock up too considering how close his fight with Henry was), he finished Moraes with no ifs and buts. The first round was just what I expected from the match; Marlon dominating the fight with his range and power. That was his only good round though. Cejudo smartly started to put more pressure on the 2nd and just drowned Moraes with his pace. It is ironic that both main event and the Ferguson v Cerrone fight turned out to be similar wars of attrition, where superior conditioning settled the fight, contrasting the recent fights of Holloway v Poirier and Namajunas v Andrade in which the more powerful athlete ultimately succeeded while the loser tried to just wear them out. Moraes was able to get his recent opponents out of there fast, failing to do that to...

The weeks prior and since this blog was started have not been kind to me. I have a god knows how long streak of getting all the main events wrong in my predictions, that was not broken until Smith won last weekend. Yea I did not write any predictions for that event, but I felt like a Gus was sufficiently spent force to lose to still hungry Smith. I bet on him and FINALLY I won a main event bet. But I digress. Before Smith's victory, I don't even remember last time I got my main event pick right. Which was partially the spark for creating this blog – I figured that if I analyze the matches harder, I will get more of them right. Could not have been any more wrong. So far it looks like the smartest policy would be to bet against any pick I make – you would achieve nearly 100 % winrate through that. All in all, MMA is tough sport to predict, but I am back to give it another shot. I am not gonna pretend to be smart enough to but percentages on it any more though, just gonn...